What is the current probability for "Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Petr Nesterov"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Petr Nesterov": Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Petr Nesterov Set 1 Winner 100%, Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Petr Nesterov 84%, Completed Match 50% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/16/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/817933. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Petr Nesterov

·Sports·ends Aug 16, 2026

vol cum

$58.5k

vol 24h

$58.5k

outcomes

ends

Aug 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Petr Nesterov Set 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 49.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$240

vol 24h

$240

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 16, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Piraino and Petr Nesterov in the Plovdiv 2, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Piraino” if Gabriele Piraino wins the first set. It will resolve to “Nesterov” if Petr Nesterov wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Aug 8, 2026opencloses · Aug 16, 2026

Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Petr Nesterov Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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