What is the current probability for "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs 1WIN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs 1WIN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins" are Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5) 50%, Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% — 11 of 24 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/821819. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event24 outcomes

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs 1WIN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins

·Sports·ends Aug 9, 2026

vol cum

$233k

vol 24h

$238.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 24

Esportscounter strike 2GamesSports

marketselected outcome

Map 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: 100 thieves

100¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$57.9k

vol 24h

$57.9k

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 9, 2026

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between 100 Thieves and 1WIN in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 9 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 1 against 1WIN. This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win Map 1 against 100 Thieves. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

timeline

opened · Aug 9, 2026closedresolved · Aug 9, 2026

Map 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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