What is the current probability for "Richmond Mayoral Election"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Richmond Mayoral Election": Other 50%, Sheldon Starrett 39%, Kash Heed 25% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 10/17/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/826315. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event8 outcomes

Richmond Mayoral Election

·Politics·ends Oct 17, 2026

vol cum

$627

vol 24h

$578

outcomes

ends

Oct 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

CanadaPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props

marketselected outcome

Other

rank #1

United States

50¢

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 17, 2026

The 2026 Richmond, BC mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Richmond as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Richmond.

timeline

opened · Aug 10, 2026opencloses · Oct 17, 2026

Other · prices over time

−24h

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