When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/841286. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event7 outcomes

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Q: What is the current probability for "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?": Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 63%, Other 50%, Mourinho: Season 1 27% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

·Culture·ends Aug 18, 2026

vol cum

$1k

vol 24h

$1k

outcomes

ends

Aug 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

MoviesCulturenetflixTop Netflix

marketselected outcome

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

rank #1

63¢

▲ 34.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$192

vol 24h

$192

spread

0.46

ends

Aug 18, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

timeline

opened · Aug 13, 2026opencloses · Aug 18, 2026

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history