What is the current probability for "Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Will Extended launch a token by December 31, 2026?": December 31, 2026 67%, September 30, 2026 1%, December 31, 2025 0% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/84920. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event5 outcomes

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

·Crypto·ends Jan 1, 2027

vol cum

$340.7k

vol 24h

$12.4k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

token launchCryptoPre-MarketExtended

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2026

rank #1

67¢

▲ 0.1pp

24h change

vol cum

$64.4k

vol 24h

$76

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

timeline

opened · Nov 18, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

December 31, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history