What is the current probability for "LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season"?

Current Polymarket odds for "LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season": Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66%, Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66%, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% (top 3 of 33 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/24/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/871094. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event33 outcomes

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

·Sports·ends Aug 24, 2026

vol cum

$2.6k

vol 24h

$2.5k

outcomes

ends

Aug 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 33

Esportsleague of legendsGamesSports

marketselected outcome

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

rank #1

66¢

▼ 3.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.31

ends

Aug 24, 2026

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Natus Vincere and Fnatic each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

timeline

opened · Aug 18, 2026closing sooncloses · Aug 24, 2026

Both Teams Slay a Dragon · prices over time

−24h

now

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