What is the current probability for "Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez" are Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez 94%, Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 21.5 51%, Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 22.5 51% — 3 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/26/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/875159. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez

·Sports·ends Aug 26, 2026

vol cum

$65.8k

vol 24h

$65.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 26, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1 · resolved: over

100¢

▲ 51.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$96

vol 24h

$96

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 26, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Alex Hernandez in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Aug 19, 2026closedresolved · Aug 20, 2026

Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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