What is the current probability for "Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?"?

"Yes" is currently 34% (-44pp in the last 24h) on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 10/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/875294. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

·Culture

Russia

34%

▼ 44.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.6k

vol 24h

$11.8k

spread

0.05

ends

Oct 31, 2026

Yes 34¢

No 67¢

Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

MusicRussiaCulturekanye west

timeline

opened · Aug 19, 2026opencloses · Oct 31, 2026

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