What is the current probability for "What price will Bitcoin hit on August 21?"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "What price will Bitcoin hit on August 21?" are ↑ 77,000 81%, ↑ 78,000 51%, ↓ 74,000 36% — 2 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/22/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/883765. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

What price will Bitcoin hit on August 21?

·Crypto·ends Aug 22, 2026

vol cum

$23.9k

vol 24h

$23.2k

outcomes

ends