What is the current probability for "Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez" are Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez 82%, Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez Match O/U 21.5 50%, Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% — 3 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/29/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/888545. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez

·Sports·ends Aug 29, 2026

vol cum

$15.4k

vol 24h

$15.4k

outcomes

ends

Aug 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: royer

100¢

▲ 36.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 29, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Royer and Pedro Martinez in the Kingston, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Royer” if Valentin Royer wins the first set. It will resolve to “Martinez” if Pedro Martinez wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Aug 22, 2026closedresolved · Aug 22, 2026

Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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