What is the current probability for "Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald": Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.5 71%, Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald 54%, Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 Winner 52% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/892304. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald

·Sports·ends Aug 31, 2026

vol cum

$15.6k

vol 24h

$15.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.5

rank #1

71¢

▲ 21.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$210

vol 24h

$210

spread

0.06

ends

Aug 31, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Niels McDonald in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

timeline

opened · Aug 23, 2026opencloses · Aug 31, 2026

Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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