What is the current probability for "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner": Stefany Shaheen 100%, Maura Sullivan 0%, Carleigh Beriont 0% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 8, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/90375. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

pasttrade on Polymarket

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event5 outcomes

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

·Politics·ends Sep 8, 2026

vol cum

$336.3k

vol 24h

$124.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

primary electionsHouse PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryNew Hampshire PrimarySeptember 8 PrimariesUS ElectionPoliticsElections

marketselected outcome

Stefany Shaheen

rank #1

United States

100¢

▲ 83.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$118.7k

vol 24h

$52.2k

spread

0.00

ends

Sep 8, 2026

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

timeline

opened · Nov 25, 2025closedresolved · Sep 8, 2026

Stefany Shaheen · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history