What is the current probability for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner": Byron Donalds 98%, James Fishback 2%, Jay Collins 0% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/90434. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event8 outcomes

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

·Elections·ends Aug 18, 2026

vol cum

$2.5M

vol 24h

$116.5k

outcomes

ends

Aug 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

primary electionsGovernor PrimaryRepublican PrimaryFlorida PrimaryAugust 18 PrimariesUS ElectionElectionsPolitics

marketselected outcome

Byron Donalds

rank #1

United States

98¢

▼ 0.3pp

24h change

vol cum

$221.7k

vol 24h

$33.1k

spread

0.00

ends

Aug 18, 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

timeline

opened · Nov 25, 2025opencloses · Aug 18, 2026

Byron Donalds · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history