What is the current probability for "Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt" are Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt Match O/U 21.5 50%, Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt Match O/U 22.5 50%, Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt Match O/U 23.5 50% — 2 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/1/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/905085. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt

·Sports·ends Sep 1, 2026

vol cum

$27.7k

vol 24h

$27.7k

outcomes

ends

Sep 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt Set 2 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 49.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 1, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Kai Wehnelt and Nick Hardt in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Wehnelt” if Kai Wehnelt wins set 2. It will resolve to “Hardt” if Nick Hardt wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Aug 24, 2026opencloses · Sep 1, 2026

Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt Set 2 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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