What is the current probability for "London, ON Mayoral Election Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "London, ON Mayoral Election Winner": Josh Morgan 53%, Other 50%, Susan Stevenson 14% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 10/26/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/905571. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event5 outcomes

London, ON Mayoral Election Winner

·Politics·ends Oct 26, 2026

vol cum

$667

vol 24h

$647

outcomes

ends

Oct 26, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

CanadaPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsMayoral Elections

marketselected outcome

Josh Morgan

rank #1

Canada

53¢

▲ 17.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$627

vol 24h

$607

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 26, 2026

The 2026 London, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of London, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from London, Ontario.

timeline

opened · Aug 24, 2026opencloses · Oct 26, 2026

Josh Morgan · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history