What is the current probability for "Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt" are Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt 83%, Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt Match O/U 21.5 78%, Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt Match O/U 22.5 78% — 4 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/2/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/910496. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt

·Sports·ends Sep 2, 2026

vol cum

$1.2M

vol 24h

$1.2M

outcomes

ends

Sep 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: mena

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Sep 2, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Kai Wehnelt in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mena” if Facundo Mena wins the first set. It will resolve to “Wehnelt” if Kai Wehnelt wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Aug 25, 2026closedresolved · Aug 26, 2026

Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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