What is the current probability for "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner": Chris Pappas 98%, Karishma Manzur 2% (top 2 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 8, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/91232. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

pasttrade on Polymarket

↗

event3 outcomes

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

·Politics·ends Sep 8, 2026

vol cum

$198.5k

vol 24h

$35.7k

outcomes

ends

Sep 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

primary electionsSenate PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryNew Hampshire PrimarySeptember 8 PrimariesUS ElectionPoliticsElections

marketselected outcome

Chris Pappas

rank #1

United States

98¢

▲ 1.7pp

24h change

vol cum

$93.1k

vol 24h

$21.1k

spread

0.00

ends

Sep 8, 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

timeline

opened · Nov 26, 2025closedresolved · Sep 8, 2026

Chris Pappas · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history