What is the current probability for "Toledo vs. Michigan State"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Toledo vs. Michigan State": Spread -2.5 67%, Spread -1.5 66%, O/U 32.5 64% (top 3 of 89 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 5, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/912889. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event89 outcomes

Toledo vs. Michigan State

·Sports·ends Sep 5, 2026

vol cum

$14.1k

vol 24h

$13.9k

outcomes

ends

Sep 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 89

SportsCFBGames

marketselected outcome

Spread -2.5

rank #1

67¢

▲ 16.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.55

ends

Sep 5, 2026

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 4 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toledo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Sep 5, 2026

Spread -2.5 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.