What is the current probability for "What price will Bitcoin hit on August 27?"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "What price will Bitcoin hit on August 27?" are ↑ 81,000 62%, ↑ 82,000 28%, ↓ 78,000 14% — 2 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/919174. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Polymarket

↗

event16 outcomes

What price will Bitcoin hit on August 27?

·Crypto·ends Aug 28, 2026

vol cum

$166.2k

vol 24h

$166.2k

outcomes

ends