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event9 outcomes

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?

Polymarket·Climate and Weather·ends Sep 7, 2026
vol cum
$4.7k
vol 24h
$4.3k
outcomes
9
ends
Sep 7, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
WeatherclimateearthquakeEarthquakesNatural Disaster
marketselected outcome
≤6
rank #1
27¢
2.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3.4k
vol 24h
$3.1k
spread
0.03
ends
Sep 7, 2026

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

timeline
opened · Aug 28, 2026opencloses · Sep 7, 2026
≤6 · prices over time
−24h
now
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