What is the current probability for "Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade" are Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade 68%, Completed Match 50%, Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Match O/U 21.5 50% — 2 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/929303. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event16 outcomes

Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade

·Sports·ends Sep 5, 2026

vol cum

$459k

vol 24h

$427.1k

outcomes

ends

Sep 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 1 Winner

rank #1

100¢

▲ 52.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Sep 5, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Mayo and Andres Andrade in the Kingston 2, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Mayo” if Aidan Mayo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Andrade” if Andres Andrade wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Aug 29, 2026opencloses · Sep 5, 2026

Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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