p|datav0.1news186
event15 outcomes

Where will it rain on August 31?

Polymarket·Climate and Weather·ends Sep 1, 2026
vol cum
$1.8k
vol 24h
$1.8k
outcomes
15
ends
Sep 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 15

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

Weatherrain
marketselected outcome
Phoenix, AZ
rank #1
United States
99¢
48.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$175
vol 24h
$175
spread
0.01
ends
Sep 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX.

timeline
opened · Aug 30, 2026closing sooncloses · Sep 1, 2026
Phoenix, AZ · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata