What is the current probability for "M15 Buzau: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Ignacio Monzon"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "M15 Buzau: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Ignacio Monzon" are M15 Buzau: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Ignacio Monzon Set 2 O/U 8.5 91%, M15 Buzau: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Ignacio Monzon Set 2 O/U 9.5 91%, M15 Buzau: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Ignacio Monzon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 90% — 5 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 8, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/943399. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

M15 Buzau: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Ignacio Monzon

·Sports·ends Sep 8, 2026

vol cum

$40.4k

vol 24h

$40.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

M15 Buzau: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Ignacio Monzon Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: gschwendtner

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$728

vol 24h

$728

spread

0.19

ends

Sep 8, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Jeremy Gschwendtner and Ignacio Monzon in the M15 Buzau, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Gschwendtner” if Jeremy Gschwendtner wins the first set. It will resolve to “Monzon” if Ignacio Monzon wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Aug 31, 2026closedresolved · Sep 1, 2026

M15 Buzau: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Ignacio Monzon Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

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