What is the current probability for "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner": Pam Alexis 58%, Other 50%, Kerry-Lynne Findlay 26% (top 3 of 4 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 26, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/943550. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event4 outcomes

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

·World·ends Sep 26, 2026

vol cum

$38.8k

vol 24h

$12.8k

outcomes

ends

Sep 26, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

WorldCanadaPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionWorld ElectionsGlobal Elections

marketselected outcome

Pam Alexis

rank #1

Canada

58¢

▲ 18.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$8k

vol 24h

$4.3k

spread

0.04

ends

Sep 26, 2026

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

timeline

opened · Aug 31, 2026opencloses · Sep 26, 2026

Pam Alexis · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history