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How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?

Polymarket·Economy·ends Sep 30, 2026
vol cum
$1.5k
vol 24h
$1.5k
outcomes
9
ends
Sep 30, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
EconomyFinanceFed RatesTreasuries
marketselected outcome
4.58%
rank #1
78¢
12.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.01
ends
Sep 30, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

timeline
opened · Sep 3, 2026opencloses · Sep 30, 2026
4.58% · prices over time
−24h
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