What is the current probability for "M15 Bologna: Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "M15 Bologna: Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza" are M15 Bologna: Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza Total Sets: O/U 2.5 91%, M15 Bologna: Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza Match O/U 22.5 91%, M15 Bologna: Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza Match O/U 23.5 91% — 7 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 13, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/971732. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

↗

event16 outcomes

M15 Bologna: Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza

·Sports·ends Sep 13, 2026

vol cum

$11.9k

vol 24h

$11.9k

outcomes

ends

Sep 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

M15 Bologna: Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: bosio

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.19

ends

Sep 13, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Bosio and Manuel Mazza in the M15 Bologna, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bosio” if Gabriele Bosio wins the first set. It will resolve to “Mazza” if Manuel Mazza wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Sep 5, 2026closedresolved · Sep 6, 2026

M15 Bologna: Gabriele Bosio vs Manuel Mazza Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.