What is the current probability for "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner": Andy Biggs 99%, Karrin Taylor Robson 1%, David Schweikert 0% (top 3 of 4 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/21/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/97315. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event4 outcomes

Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

·Politics·ends Jul 21, 2026

vol cum

$74.4k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jul 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

primary electionsGovernor PrimaryRepublican PrimaryArizona PrimaryJuly 21 PrimariesUS ElectionPoliticsElections

marketselected outcome

Andy Biggs

rank #1

United States

99¢

▼ 0.1pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.6k

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Jul 21, 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

timeline

opened · Dec 4, 2025opencloses · Jul 21, 2026

Andy Biggs · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history