What is the current probability for "Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal" are Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal Total Sets: O/U 2.5 91%, Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal Match O/U 21.5 91%, Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal Match O/U 22.5 91% — 5 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 17, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/989085. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal

·Sports·ends Sep 17, 2026

vol cum

$125.4k

vol 24h

$125.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: gueymard-wayenburg

100¢

▲ 61.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 17, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg and Mark Lajal in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Gueymard-Wayenburg” if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg wins the first set. It will resolve to “Lajal” if Mark Lajal wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026closedresolved · Sep 10, 2026

Cassis: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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