What is the current probability for "Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu" are Completed Match 75%, Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu 62%, Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Game Spread +/-4.5 10% — 11 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 18, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/993325. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event17 outcomes

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu

·Sports·ends Sep 18, 2026

vol cum

$224.2k

vol 24h

$224.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: moriya

100¢

▲ 74.5pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Sep 18, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Hiroki Moriya and Yuta Shimizu in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Moriya” if Hiroki Moriya wins the first set. It will resolve to “Shimizu” if Yuta Shimizu wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Sep 9, 2026closedresolved · Sep 11, 2026

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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