What is the current probability for "Will Tread launch a token by ___?"?

Current Predict odds for "Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?": December 31, 2026 65%, September 30, 2026 63%, June 30, 2026 0% (top 3 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/1/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from predict's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/predict/10621. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event3 outcomes

Will Tread launch a token by ___?

·Crypto·ends Jan 1, 2027

vol cum

$160.2k

vol 24h

$4k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tread officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tread (https://www.tread.fi/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

CryptoPre-Market

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2026

rank #1