event2 outcomes

Texas Senate Election Winner

Predict·Politics·ends Nov 4, 2026

As of 19:50 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, “James Talarico (D)” leads “Texas Senate Election Winner” on Predict at 74% (-2pp in 24h), followed by “Ken Paxton (R)” at 26% (+2pp in 24h), out of 2 outcomes. The event has $8.2k in Predict-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Texas Senate Election Winner” on Limitless, an event with 2 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Limitless, Gemini, Kalshi, Predict and Polymarket.

vol cum

$20.2k

vol 24h

$8.2k

outcomes

ends

Nov 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

PoliticsElections

marketselected outcome

James Talarico (D)

rank #1

United States

74¢

▼ 2.1pp

24h change

vol cum

$11.4k

vol 24h

$6.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Nov 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

timeline

opened · Aug 25, 2026closing sooncloses · Nov 4, 2026

James Talarico (D) · prices over time

−24h

now

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