What is the current probability for "Highest temperature in Taipei on August 28?"?

Current Predict odds for "Highest temperature in Taipei on August 28?": 35°C 39%, 33°C 27%, 36°C 25% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from predict's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/predict/404224. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Predict

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event11 outcomes

Highest temperature in Taipei on August 28?

·Culture·ends Aug 28, 2026

vol cum

vol 24h

outcomes

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Aug 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

CultureWeather

marketselected outcome

35°C

rank #1

Taiwan

39¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.22

ends

Aug 28, 2026

This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

timeline

opened · Aug 26, 2026closing sooncloses · Aug 28, 2026

35°C · prices over time

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now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history