What is the current probability for "Will Silver hit $60 or $150 first by July?"?

"$60" is currently 100% (+32pp in the last 24h) on Predict, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/1/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from predict's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/predict/4415. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Will Silver hit $60 or $150 first by July?

·Finance

100%

▲ 31.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$63.6k

vol 24h

$15k

spread

0.55

ends

Jul 1, 2026

$60 100¢

$150 0¢

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if silver’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between January 27th, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if silver’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for the price of silver will be COMEX trading data for the Silver Continuous Contract (SIW00), specifically the price per troy ounce during regular trading hours, which can be viewed here: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SIW00:COMEX.

Finance

timeline

opened · Jan 27, 2026closedresolved · Jun 24, 2026

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