What is the current probability for "Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?"?

Current Predict odds for "Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?": $700M 7%, $1B 5%, $3B 5% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/1/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from predict's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/predict/898. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Predict

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event5 outcomes

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

·Crypto·ends Jan 1, 2027

vol cum

$19.9M

vol 24h

$25.7k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

CryptoPre-Market

marketselected outcome

$700M

rank #1

7¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.9M

vol 24h

$2.8k

spread

0.00

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

timeline

opened · Dec 29, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

$700M · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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