event2 outcomes

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Gemini·Politics·ends Feb 1, 2027

As of 13:37 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Democratic Party” leads “Which party will win the U.S. Senate?” on Gemini at 70% (-1pp in 24h), followed by “Republican Party” at 32% (-3pp in 24h), out of 2 outcomes. The event has $1.4k in Gemini-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which party will win the U.S. Senate?” on Kalshi, an event with 2 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Opinion, Predict, Gemini, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum

$164.5k

vol 24h

$1.4k

outcomes

ends

Feb 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?

Senate

marketselected outcome

Democratic Party

rank #1

United States

70¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.03

ends

Feb 1, 2027

This contract resolves based on whether the Democratic Party controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results. A majority consists of at least 51 seats. If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role. Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party. If control cannot be determined by seat totals, control is determined by Senate leadership, as reflected by the party affiliation of the President Pro Tempore. The contract resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party controls the Senate and to No otherwise. Read the full contract terms & conditions

timeline

opened · Dec 23, 2025opencloses · Feb 1, 2027

Democratic Party · prices over time

−24h

now

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