event2 outcomes

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Gemini·Politics·ends Feb 1, 2027

As of 06:44 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, “Democratic Party” leads “Which party will win the U.S. House?” on Gemini at 92% (+1pp in 24h), followed by “Republican Party” at 14%, out of 2 outcomes. The event has $13.8k in Gemini-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which party will win the U.S. House?” on Kalshi, an event with 2 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Opinion, Limitless, Manifold, Gemini and Polymarket.

vol cum

$546.3k

vol 24h

$13.8k

outcomes

ends

Feb 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?

House

marketselected outcome

Democratic Party

rank #1

United States

92¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.04

ends

Feb 1, 2027

This contract resolves based on whether the Democratic Party controls the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results. A majority consists of at least 218 seats. If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government by electing the Speaker of the House. Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party. If control cannot be determined by seat totals, control is determined by House leadership, as reflected by the party affiliation of the Speaker of the House. The contract resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party controls the House and to No otherwise. Read the full contract terms & conditions

timeline

opened · Dec 23, 2025opencloses · Feb 1, 2027

Democratic Party · prices over time

−24h

now

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