What is the current probability for "Avengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes Score"?

The contested Gemini outcomes for "Avengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes Score" are Above 55 93%, Above 60 87%, Above 65 83% — 2 of 13 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/21/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/154873. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Gemini

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event13 outcomes

Avengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes Score

·Culture·ends Dec 21, 2026

vol cum

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Dec 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 13

What will the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for Avengers: Doomsday be?

Movies

marketselected outcome

Above 45

rank #1

96¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.03

ends

Dec 21, 2026

This market will resolve to YES if Avengers: Doomsday has a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score above 45 on Monday, December 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, following its currently scheduled wide release on December 18, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be Rotten Tomatoes. The Tomatometer score must be strictly above 45 to resolve to YES; a score of exactly 45 will resolve to NO. If the score is not above 45 at the determination time, this market will resolve to NO. This event is directional. View the full rules.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026opencloses · Dec 21, 2026

Above 45 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history