event11 outcomes

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Gemini·Economy·ends Jan 2, 2027

As of 00:36 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, “Before January 01, 2027” leads “When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?” on Gemini at 11% (-1pp in 24h), followed by “Before December 01, 2026” at 8% (+1pp in 24h) and “Before November 01, 2026” at 2% (-1pp in 24h), out of 11 outcomes. The event has no Gemini-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$193.7k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 2, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.

Macro Indicators

marketselected outcome

Before January 01, 2027

rank #1

11¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.03

ends

Jan 1, 2027

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch. Read the full contract terms & conditions.

timeline

opened · Apr 8, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

Before January 01, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history