Question 1

What is the current probability for "When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Gemini odds for "When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?": Before January 01, 2027 89%, Before July 01, 2026 31%, Before May 01, 2026 0% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/1/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/15588. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

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