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event29 outcomes

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Apr 1, 2029

As of 20:13 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 29 markets in “When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 1, 2029” at 63% (+2pp in 24h), “Before Jul 1, 2028” at 56% and “Before Jan 1, 2028” at 50% (-1pp in 24h). The event has $56.1k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 18 related events on Gemini, Polymarket, Limitless and Kalshi.

vol cum
$18.6M
vol 24h
$56.1k
outcomes
29
ends
Apr 1, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 29
marketselected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2029
rank #1
IranOmanUnited Arab Emirates
63¢
▲ 2.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$57.1k
vol 24h
$458
spread
0.04
ends
Apr 1, 2029

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Aug 24, 2026opencloses · Apr 1, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2029 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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