Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
As of 15:41 UTC on 1 Nov 2026, “Before 2027?” leads “Will crypto market structure legislation become law?” on Gemini at 9% (+1pp in 24h), followed by “Before December 2026?” at 4% and “Before August 2026?” at 0%, out of 11 outcomes. The event has no Gemini-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Limitless, Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.
This market resolves to Yes if crypto market structure legislation becomes law by the specified deadline. For purposes of this Contract, 'crypto market structure legislation' means any bill that: (1) Establishes a regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely stablecoins); AND (2) Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (SEC, CFTC, or other) for oversight of digital assets; AND (3) Creates definitions or classifications for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other classifications. Bills that do the following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: solely regulate stablecoins and/or CBDCs; only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without a regulatory framework; only address crypto taxation; pass only one chamber; as well as appropriations bills; executive orders or agency rules; bills vetoed and not overridden; state legislation. Resolution source: Library of Congress.
