event8 outcomes

French Presidential Election Winner 2027?

Gemini·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 16:45 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, “Marine Le Pen” leads “French Presidential Election Winner 2027?” on Gemini at 54% (+1pp in 24h), followed by “Édouard Philippe” at 18% and “Jean-Luc Mélenchon” at 11%, out of 8 outcomes. The event has no Gemini-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Predict, Manifold, Limitless, Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$96.5k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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Who will win the next French presidential election?

International

marketselected outcome

Marine Le Pen

rank #1

France

54¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

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spread

0.04

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve on whether Marine Le Pen wins the 2027 French presidential election scheduled to held around April 2027. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press (AP). This market will resolve to YES if AP reports Marine Le Pen as the winner of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior. Read the full contract terms & conditions.

timeline

opened · Mar 4, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

Marine Le Pen · prices over time

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