What is the current probability for "How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?" are 5.36% or above 84% — 5 of 25 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 3, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KX30YRDIRHM-27JAN01H. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event25 outcomes

How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

·Finance·ends Jan 3, 2027

vol cum

$18.3k

vol 24h

$18.3k

outcomes

ends

Jan 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 25

marketselected outcome

5.3% or above

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.4k

vol 24h

$3.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 3, 2027

If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 17, 2026opencloses · Jan 3, 2027

5.3% or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.