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How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

“4.87% or above” 99% (+53pp in 24h), “4.89% or above” 99% and “4.9% or above” 99% on Kalshi as of 20:35 UTC on 12 Nov 2026: the highest-priced of the 30 markets in “How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?”. The event has $2.8k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

Kalshi·Finance·ends Dec 1, 2026
event30 outcomes
vol cum
$5.3k
vol 24h
$2.8k
outcomes
30
ends
Dec 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 30
marketselected outcome
4.87% or above
rank #1
99¢
▲ 53.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$141
vol 24h
$56
spread
0.33
ends
Dec 1, 2026

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 1, 2026opencloses · Dec 1, 2026
4.87% or above · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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