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How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Apr 30, 2027

As of 08:43 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle?” on Kalshi are “Above 11.5 billion dollars” at 80% (+11pp in 24h), “Above 12 billion dollars” at 29% and “Above 11 billion dollars” at 0%. The event has $4.8k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum
$5.2k
vol 24h
$4.8k
outcomes
7
ends
Apr 30, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7
marketselected outcome
Above 11.5 billion dollars
rank #1
United States
80¢
▲ 11.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$5.2k
vol 24h
$4.8k
spread
0.01
ends
Apr 30, 2027

If total political ad spending for the 2025-2026 election cycle is above 11.5 billion dollars in AdImpact's 2025-2026 Cycle in Review, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 1, 2026opencloses · Apr 30, 2027
Above 11.5 billion dollars · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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