Will Alaska crude oil production increase YoY in 2026?

Kalshi·Economy

United States

As of 13:21 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Alaska crude oil production increase YoY in 2026?” at 81%. The market has $150 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold and Gemini.

If Alaska’s total crude oil field production in calendar year 2026 is above 153.607 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is Alaska’s calendar-year total field production of crude oil, measured in barrels. The 153.607 million-barrel baseline is fixed to the 2025 annual total at market launch; later revisions do not change the strike.