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Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?

Manifold·Economy

As of 19:43 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?” at 94%. The market has M$8 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Predict, Kalshi, Opinion, Polymarket and Gemini.

94%
▼ 0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
M75k
vol 24h
M8
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 94¢
NO 6¢

Will the closing price (C) of the last trading day of 2026 be higher than the opening price (O) on the first trading day of 2026. If C > O then YES If C == O then NO If C < O then NO N/A if there are less than 2 trading days in 2026. Author betting rules The author of this question can place bets on it. Resolving rules This question will be resolved shortly after the last trading day of 2026. Other questions on this topic Will S&P 500 increase in 2024? (resolved YES) Will S&P 500 increase in 2025? (resolved YES) Will S&P 500 increase in 2026? (this question) Will S&P 500 increase in 2027?

economics-defaultfinancesp-500-changesstockstechnology-default
timeline
opened · Jan 1, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Will S&P 500 increase in 2026? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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