What is the current probability for "Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?": 40.0 to 40.2 23%, 39.7 to 39.9 20%, 39.4 to 39.6 19% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 25, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP25. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event8 outcomes

Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?

·Politics·ends Sep 25, 2026

vol cum

$33.7k

vol 24h

$28.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 25, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

40.0 to 40.2

rank #1

United States

23¢

▲ 14.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.5k

vol 24h

$6.2k

spread

0.04

ends

Sep 25, 2026

If the President's approval rating is between 40.0 and 40.2% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 18, 2026opencloses · Sep 25, 2026

40.0 to 40.2 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history