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event7 outcomes

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 4, 2027

As of 22:46 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?” on Polymarket are “↑ 47%” at 14% (+1pp in 24h), “↑ 46%” at 9% (-1pp in 24h) and “↑ 45%” at 9% (+4pp in 24h). The event has $287 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?” on Kalshi, an event with 8 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless and Manifold.

vol cum
$9.2k
vol 24h
$287
outcomes
7
ends
Jan 4, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 7
PoliticsTrump PresidencyApproval
marketselected outcome
↑ 47%
rank #1
United States
14¢
▲ 0.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$480
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.26
ends
Jan 4, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.

timeline
opened · Dec 12, 2025opencloses · Jan 4, 2027
↑ 47% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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