event10 outcomes

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather·ends Dec 1, 2026

As of 04:24 UTC on 1 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026?” on Kalshi are “Magnitude of at least 5.4” at 98%, “Magnitude of at least 5.2” at 95% and “Magnitude of at least 5.6” at 72%. The event has $1.1k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum

$1.1k

vol 24h

$1.1k

outcomes

ends

Dec 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Magnitude of at least 5.4

rank #1

98¢

▲ 98.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$58

vol 24h

$58

spread

0.08

ends

Dec 1, 2026

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 31, 2026opencloses · Dec 1, 2026

Magnitude of at least 5.4 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

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