event10 outcomes

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 21, 2026?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather·ends Nov 20, 2026

As of 15:47 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 21, 2026?” on Kalshi are “Magnitude of at least 5.2” at 99%, “Magnitude of at least 5.4” at 46% (+46pp in 24h) and “Magnitude of at least 5.6” at 28% (-37pp in 24h). The event has $3.7k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum

$3.7k

vol 24h

$3.7k

outcomes

ends

Nov 20, 2026

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showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Magnitude of at least 5.2

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$716

vol 24h

$716

spread

1.00

ends

Nov 20, 2026

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 20, 2026closedresolved · Oct 21, 2026

Magnitude of at least 5.2 · prices over time

−24h

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